The Weeknd’s After Hours could capture a fourth straight week at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart next week. If the set holds atop the list, it will mark the first album to spend its first four weeks at No. 1 since Drake’s Scorpion in 2018, and just the fifth set since 2018 to log at least four total weeks at No. 1.
Industry forecasters suggest that After Hours could earn 62,000 to 75,000 equivalent album units in the week ending April 16.
The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums of the week based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The top 10 of the April 25-dated Billboard 200 chart (where After Hours may log a fourth week at No. 1) is scheduled to be revealed on Billboard’s website on Sunday, April 19.
Also on next week’s chart, Tory Lanez has a chance to snare his first leader with his latest album, The New Toronto 3. The set was released on April 10 via Interscope Records. It could earn between 63,000 and 71,000 units. The New Toronto 3 will largely be powered by streaming activity, with a small amount of its total derived from album sales and TEA units (perhaps 5,000 to 10,000 combined). Meanwhile, After Hours is also still strong with streams, but could see 10,000 to 20,000 of its units for the week generated by album sales and TEA.
A wild-card factor in estimating the units for both titles is trying to predict how well their merchandise/album bundles will sell during the tracking week. The New Toronto 3 has a small range of bundles available via Tory Lanez’s official webstore, while The Weeknd continues to offer dozens of strong-selling merch bundles (including a new batch that dropped mid-afternoon on April 14). It’s conceivable that After Hours could easily rack up thousands of late-in-the-week sales from merchandise/album bundles, which could pull it safely ahead of The New Toronto 3.
Elsewhere on next week’s Billboard 200, watch for The Strokes to log the second-highest new entry on the list. The band’s latest album, The New Abnormal, could launch in the top 15 with over 25,000 units earned.