Country star Jason Aldean is nearly guaranteed his second No. 1 album next week on the Billboard 200 chart. Industry forecasters suggest his latest effort, Old Boots, New Dirt, could sell 270,000 to 290,000 copies in the week ending Oct. 21. The album was released through Broken Bow Records on Oct. 7.
The new Billboard 200’s top 10 will be revealed on Oct. 15.
Aldean will be joined by perhaps four other new albums in the top 10, led by Hozier‘s debut self-titled full-length effort. The Rubyworks/Columbia effort may sell a little over 50,000 copies. The set is led by his hit single “Take Me to Church,” which topped the Adult Alternative Songs chart, and reached the top 10 on both Hot Rock Songs and Alternative Songs.
Rock band Weezer may tally its seventh top 10 album, as Everything Will Be Alright In the End could sell 30,000 or so. It’s the group’s first studio release since 2010’s Hurley debuted and peaked at No. 6, bowing with 45,000, according to Nielsen SoundScan.
Pop duo Alex & Sierra, who won the third season of The X Factor, could also debut in the top 10 with their self-titled first album. The SYCO/Columbia set might sell 25,000 to 30,000.
Lastly, Stevie Nicks‘ new release 24 Karat Gold: Songs From the Vault could shift 25,000 to 30,000. If it starts in the top 10, it would mark the singer/songwriter’s sixth solo top 10 album. She last hit the region with the 2011 effort In Your Dreams (No. 6).
On SoundScan’s Building chart (below), Aldean and Hozier are Nos. 1 and 2, respectively, while Barbra Streisand‘s former Billboard 200 No. 1, Partners, is No. 3. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking — reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan’s tracking week as reported by six major merchants.
As for the rest of the Building chart’s top 10, Alex & Sierra are No. 4, followed by Weezer at No. 5 and Blake Shelton‘s Bringing Back the Sunshine at No. 6. Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga‘s Cheek to Cheek is No. 7, and Keyshia Cole‘s new Point of No Return is No. 8. (Cole’s set may not finish the week in the top 10. It might sell a little over 20,000 in its first week.) Nicks and Childish Gambino‘s new Kauai EP round out the top 10 at Nos. 9 and 10, respectively.
|Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart|
|1||NEW||Jason Aldean||Old Boots, New Dirt|
|4||NEW||Alex & Sierra||It’s About Us|
|5||NEW||Weezer||Everything Will Be Alright…|
|6||1||Blake Shelton||Bringing Back the Sunshine|
|7||5||Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga||Cheek to Cheek|
|8||NEW||Keyshia Cole||Point of No Return|
|9||NEW||Stevie Nicks||24 Karat Gold: Songs From the Vault|
|10||18||Childish Gambino||Kauai (EP)|
|The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan’s tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.|