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Camila Cabello’s ‘Havana’ vs. Ed Sheeran’s ‘Perfect’ for No. 1 on Billboard Hot 100 Next Week

"Havana," at its No. 2 peak for seven weeks, could dethrone Sheeran's hit at last.

Camila Cabello‘s so-far No. 2-peaking “Havana,” featuring Young Thug, is aiming to top the Billboard Hot 100 at last, as the song could dethrone Ed Sheeran‘s “Perfect” atop next week’s chart (dated Jan. 27).

“Havana” has spent seven weeks its No. 2 Hot 100 high to date. “Perfect” has reigned for six frames. (“Havana” logged its first five weeks at No. 2 below Post Malone‘s “Rockstar,” featuring 21 Savage; it has tallied two more weeks at No. 2 the past two weeks under “Perfect.”)

Let’s run some projections. Highlights of next week’s Hot 100, which blends streaming, airplay and sales data, according to Nielsen Music, will post on Monday (Jan. 22), with all charts posting the following day (Jan. 23).

Based on preliminary data projecting the tracking period feeding next week’s Hot 100, “Havana” could draw over 35 million U.S. streams, perhaps ranking at No. 1 on the Streaming Songs chart for the first time. It could also draw 135 million in radio audience and sell more than 60,000 downloads, helped by a 69-cent iTunes Store sale price in the tracking week.

“Perfect” could sport over 28 million U.S. streams, 140 million in radio audience and 70,000 downloads sold.

Helping add buzz for “Havana”: the Jan. 12 release of Cabello’s debut solo album, Camila. She could crown both the Hot 100 songs chart and the Billboard 200 albums chart, as the set, as previously reported, is vying with the current Billboard 200 leader, the soundtrack to The Greatest Showman, for No. 1 on the Jan. 27-dated chart. Highlights of the newest Billboard 200 are set to post on Sunday (Jan. 21).


If “Havana” can hit No. 1 on the Hot 100, Cabello would earn her first leader on the list, either as a soloist or with Fifth Harmony. Before her current hit, she peaked as high as No. 4 with both her own “Bad Things,” with Machine Gun Kelly, in February 2017, and with Fifth Harmony’s “Work From Home,” featuring Ty Dolla $ign, in June 2016. (Cabello left the group in December 2016.)

Young Thug would likewise notch his first Hot 100 No. 1. He previously peaked as high as No. 16 as featured, with Rich Homie Quan, on Rich Gang’s “Lifestyle” in November 2014.

Additionally, “Havana” would become the first song to spend at least seven weeks at No. 2 on the Hot 100 before ascending to the top spot since Justin Bieber’s “Sorry,” which tallied eight frames at No. 2 before beginning a three-week reign on Jan. 23, 2016.

Again, Camilizers, Sheerios and more, visit Monday (Jan. 22) to find out who wins the battle for No. 1 between “Havana” and “Perfect” and for a rundown of the chart’s top 10.