Ariana Grande is vying for her first No. 1 on next week’s Billboard Hot 100 chart (dated Nov. 17), as her new single “Thank U, Next” could blast in at the summit, following its release late Saturday night (Nov. 3).
The Hot 100 songs survey blends weekly streaming, airplay and sales data, according to Nielsen Music.
According to building Nielsen Music data, “Next,” released on Republic Records, should launch with over 50 million U.S. streams, 10 million in airplay audience and 60,000 downloads sold, placing it in line to arrive as the most-streamed and most-sold song of the week.
Notably, the song will debut on the Hot 100 with just over five days of streaming and sales data, as the tracking week for those metrics runs Friday through Thursday. (Grande has released two videos for the song so far: an audio clip upon its release, and a lyric video Nov. 6.)
Grande, who is managed by Scooter Braun’s SB Projects, has notched 10 Hot 100 top 10s, hitting a No. 2 high with “Problem,” featuring Iggy Azalea, in 2014. She most recently reached the region with “God Is a Woman” (No. 8 in September), which this week becomes her fourth No. 1 on the Pop Songs airplay chart.
“Woman” is from Grande’s third Billboard 200 No. 1 album, Sweetener, while “Next” is, as of now, a stand-alone track, with the song’s lyrics referencing past relationships with (among others), real-life exes Pete Davidson and the late Mac Miller.
Highlights of next week’s Hot 100 will post on Billboard.com Monday (Nov. 12), with all charts posting the following day (Nov. 13).