As reported earlier, J. Cole is looking to snag his first No. 1 album -- with his first release -- next week on the Billboard 200 as his "Cole World: the Sideline Story" should easily top the list. Industry sources say the set is on track to sell around 240,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Oct. 2.
The 26-year old rapper will come in ahead of the revived Blink-182, which should bow at No. 2 with "Neighborhoods." The album may sell perhaps 140,000 copies.
On Nielsen SoundScan's Building chart below -- a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants, J. Cole and Blink are in the predicted Nos. 1 and 2 slots, respectively.
Coming in at No. 3 on the Building chart is Adele's "21," which may slip to No. 4 on the final Billboard 200 next week, depending on how it performs over the weekend. Tony Bennett's "Duets II" -- which debuted at No. 1 this week on the Billboard 200 -- is ranked at No. 4 on the Building list.
Elsewhere on the Building tally, Wilco's "The Whole Love" stands at No. 6, which bodes well for a top 10 debut on the Billboard 200 next week. A top five arrival isn't out of the question, but it will have to perform strongly over the weekend to gain footing ahead of Bennett and Lady Antebellum's "Own the Night" (No. 5 on the Building chart).
Wilco is one of a wave of rock acts that are hoping to debut in the top 10, as evidenced by the Building chart. All-star band Chickenfoot, along with another foot band -- Switchfoot -- could both bow in the region. Their new albums are Nos. 8 and 9, respectively, on the Building chart. Finally, Mastodon sits at No. 10 on the list with its new "The Hunter" album, but a top 10 berth on the Billboard 200 isn't guaranteed for the set.
Glancing at the Building tally, there are a number of titles that look as if they are going to fall straight out of the Billboard 200's top 10 after debuting there last week. The droppers: Demi Lovato's "Unbroken," NeedToBreathe's "The Reckoning," Mindless Behavior's "#1 Girl," Gavin DeGraw's "Sweeter" and Pearl Jam's "Pearl Jam Twenty."
The final Billboard 200 chart won't be unveiled until the morning of Wednesday, Oct. 5. But until then, we have a preview of what the top 10 might look like, courtesy of SoundScan's Building Chart (See Below).
|Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart|
|1||NEW||J. Cole||"Cole World: the Sideline Story"|
|4||1||Tony Bennett||"Duets II"|
|5||2||Lady Antebellum||"Own the Night"|
|6||NEW||Wilco||"The Whole Love"|
|7||5||Lil Wayne||"Tha Carter IV"|
|The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.|