CMA Awards 2018
Justin Timberlake's Album Sales Forecast Grows, Lorde Set for No. 3 Debut on Billboard 200
On next week's Billboard 200 albums chart, Justin Timberlake is set for his second No. 1 this year, while red-hot singer Lorde is aiming for a No. 3 start with her debut full-length album, "Pure Heroine."
As reported on Tuesday, Timberlake's "The 20/20 Experience, 2 of 2" is on track for a No. 1 bow, marking the pop star's second No. 1 album this year. Industry sources forecast the set to sell around 350,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Oct. 6.
That sales projection has grown since Tuesday, when those in the know suggested it would move around 325,000.
Next week's top 10 will be revealed on Wednesday, Oct. 9. The full chart will refresh the following day on Billboard.com and Billboard.biz.
"20/20, 2 of 2" is the second half of his two-part album "The 20/20 Experience." The first half arrived in March, and debuted at No. 1 with with 968,000 sold in its first week, according to Nielsen SoundScan. It continues to hold the record for the largest sales week of 2013, and is the biggest-selling album of the year (2.3 million).
The current Billboard 200 champ, Drake, will likely end up at No. 2 next week with his "Nothing Was the Same." It might sell around 150,000 or so.
Lorde, who rose to No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 songs chart this week with "Royals," is on course for a No. 3 bow on the Billboard 200. Her first full-length album, "Pure Heroine," might move 110,000 to 120,000.
Speaking of first albums, country singer Tyler Farr is heading for a top 10 bow with his debut, "Redneck Crazy." The effort may sell around 25,000. Farr is currently No. 4 on the Country Airplay chart with the album's title track.
One more release is on course for a possible top 10 entry: HAIM with its first full-length set, "Days Are Gone." It could sell around 20,000. The buzzed-about act debuted on Hot Rock Songs at No. 50 this week with "The Wire."
On SoundScan's Building chart (below), Timberlake's "20/20, 2 of 2" is No. 1, while Drake and Lorde are Nos. 2 and 3, respectively. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.
As for the rest of the top 10: Luke Bryan's "Crash My Party" is No. 4, Farr is No. 5 and Cher's "Closer to the Truth" is No. 6. Kings of Leon's "Mechanical Bull" rides at No. 7, Timberlake's first "The 20/20 Experience" is No. 8 and Jack Johnson's "From Here to Now to You" is No. 9. HAIM's "Days Are Gone" sits at No. 10.
|Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart|
|1||NEW||Justin Timberlake||"The 20/20 Experience, 2 of 2"|
|2||1||Drake||"Nothing Was the Same"|
|4||6||Luke Bryan||"Crash My Party"|
|5||NEW||Tyler Farr||"Redneck Crazy"|
|6||3||Cher||"Closer to the Truth"|
|7||2||Kings of Leon||"Mechanical Bull"|
|8||37||Justin Timberlake||"The 20/20 Experience"|
|9||5||Jack Johnson||"From Here to Now to You"|
|10||NEW||HAIM||"Days Are Gone"|
|The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.|