Green Day, No Doubt & Lupe Fiasco Headed for Big Billboard 200 Debuts
As we earlier reported on Wednesday (Sept. 26), Mumford & Sons' "Babel" is on course for a record-setting week on the next Billboard 200 albums chart. The band's second release may sell around 600,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Sept. 30, easily securing a No. 1 debut on the Billboard 200 chart next week.
The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Wednesday, Oct. 3.
Green Day's latest, "Uno!," may move around 150,000 -- good enough for a No. 2 entry, so say industry forecasters. That's off quite a bit from the start of its last studio release, 2009's "21st Century Breakdown," which debuted at No. 1 with 215,000 sold according to Nielsen SoundScan. The band's promotional duties this week were thrown for a loop when its lead singer, Billie Joe Armstrong, announced that he was "seeking treatment for substance abuse" on Sept. 23.
As for No Doubt's long-awaited new studio album "Push & Shove," it may bow in the No. 3 slot with 125,000. The quartet was last on the chart with a new studio set in 2001-2003 with "Rock Steady." That release spent 76 weeks on the chart, peaking at No. 9 in its debut week.
Lupe Fiasco's "Food & Liquor II: the Great American Rap Album Pt. 1" seems like it will start with 90,000 to 100,000, which should prompt a No. 4 debut. Fiasco's last release, 2011's "Lasers," debuted at No. 1, selling 204,000 in its premiere frame.
The fifth-largest entry next week looks to be deadmau5 with ">Album Title Goes Here<," which might sell 50,000. It would mark a career-high sales week (and new chart high) for the EDM act, whose best week thus far was the debut of 2010's "4X4=12." Its highest week came during its debut, when it entered the chart at No. 47 (its peak) with 27,000.
On Nielsen SoundScan's Building chart (below), Mumford & Sons is No. 1, followed by No Doubt, Green Day and Fiasco at Nos. 2-4, respectively. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.
As for the rest of the Building chart's top 10: P!nk's "The Truth About Love" is at No. 5, deadmau5 is No. 6, the "Cruel Summer" compilation is No. 7 and Dave Matthews Band's "Away From the World" is No. 8. Rounding out the top 10 are the Killers' "Battle Born" (No. 9) and Little Big Town's "Tornado."
|Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart|
|1||NEW||Mumford & Sons||"Babel"|
|2||NEW||No Doubt||"Push & Shove"|
|4||NEW||Lupe Fiasco||"Food & Liquor II"|
|5||1||P!nk||"The Truth About Love"|
|6||NEW||deadmau5||"Album Title Goes Here"|
|8||4||Dave Matthews Band||"Away From the World"|
|9||3||The Killers||"Battle Born"|
|10||5||Little Big Town||"Tornado"|
|The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.|