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Ariana Grande’s Thank U, Next album may bounce back to No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart next week, according to industry forecasters. However, there is at least one album that could spoil Grande’s chart-topping party: Hozier’s new Wasteland, Baby! is flirting with the possibility of opening at No. 1.
The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums of the week based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The top 10 of the March 16-dated Billboard 200 chart (where Thank U could return to No. 1) is scheduled to be revealed on Billboard’s websites on Sunday, March 10.
Those in the know suggest Thank U may return to the top slot with 90,000 to 95,000 equivalent album units earned in the week ending March 7. If Thank U jumps back to No. 1, it will tally its third nonconsecutive week atop the list. The album spent its first two weeks at No. 1 and then fell to No. 2 on the chart dated March 9 -- where Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper’s A Star Is Born soundtrack surged back to the top in the wake of the Academy Awards. On next week’s chart, expect A Star Is Born to tally around 70,000 units (down from the 129,000 units it earned in the week ending Feb. 28, according to Nielsen Music).