Chart Beat

Mumford & Sons' 'Delta' Heading for No. 1 Debut on Billboard 200 Albums Chart

Mumford & Sons
Gavin Batty

Mumford & Sons

Plus: “The Greatest Showman: Reimagined,” Michael Bublé’s “Love,” Mariah Carey’s “Caution” & Anderson .Paak’s “Oxnard” all aiming for top 10 bows.

Mumford & Sons are on track for their third No. 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart. According to industry forecasters, the band’s latest studio album, Delta, could launch atop the list with perhaps 220,000 equivalent album units earned in the week ending Nov. 22. The set was released on Nov. 9 via Gentlemen of the Road/Glassnote Records, as is the group’s first new studio set in more than three years.

The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums of the week based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The top 10 of the Dec. 1-dated Billboard 200 chart (where Delta may bow at No. 1) is scheduled to be revealed on Billboard’s websites on Sunday, Nov. 25.

Delta is Mumford & Sons’ fourth studio album, and first since Wilder Mind opened at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart dated May 23, 2015. Wilder Mind launched with 249,000 equivalent album units earned in its first week, according to Nielsen Music. Of that sum, 231,000 were in album sales.

Delta’s first week will largely be driven by album sales as well, bolstered by a concert ticket/album sale redemption offer with the quartet’s upcoming U.S. tour.

Aiming for a No. 2 entry on the new Billboard 200 is the various artists compilation The Greatest Showman: Reimagined. The set —which features an array of chart-topping musicians covering songs from the former No. 1 The Greatest Showman soundtrack — may bow with between 80,000 and 90,000 units earned. Among those acts on the album: Panic! at the Disco (covering “The Greatest Show”), P!nk (“A Million Dreams”), Zac Brown Band (“From Now On”) and James Arthur with Anne-Marie (“Rewrite the Stars”).

Next up, Michael Bublé will likely enter at No. 3 with his new album Love. The effort could bow with around 80,000 units. If it starts as expected, it will garner Bublé his eighth top 10 effort. Love follows 2016’s Nobody But Me, which debuted and peaked at No. 2 with 91,000 units earned in its first week.

Superstar Mariah Carey is on track to tally her tally her 18th top 10 album, as her new studio set Caution could enter with between 50,000 and 55,000 units. Also on course for a possible top 10 bow: Anderson .Paak’s Oxnard, with maybe 35,000 to 40,000 units.