'Frozen' Vs. Luke Bryan for No. 1 on Billboard 200 Chart

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Joseph Llanes
Luke Bryan

Bryan's "Spring Break" EP could hit No. 1, unless "Frozen" returns for its sixth nonconsecutive week at the top

Industry sources forecast a battle of the seasons for No. 1 on the Billboard 200 chart next week.

The "Frozen" soundtrack might bring a wintry chill back to No. 1, though Luke Bryan's "Spring Break 6… Like We Ain't Ever" EP is also vying for the top slot.

Both could sell around 75,000 to 80,000 copies in the tracking week that ends on Sunday, March 16.

The new Billboard 200's top 10 will be revealed on March 19.

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Last year, Bryan hit No. 1 twice, with a compilation of his earlier "Spring Break" EPs titled "Spring Break… Here to Party," and with his most recent studio album, "Crash My Party." If his new "Spring Break 6" effort tops the list, it will mark his third No. 1.

If "Frozen" returns to No. 1, it will mark the sixth nonconsecutive week atop the list for the album. "Frozen" is already the longest-running No. 1 soundtrack since "Titanic" logged 16 straight weeks at No. 1 in 1998.

After Bryan, the new chart's second-highest bow will likely be Aloe Blacc's "Lift Your Spirit," with maybe 40,000. 311's new "Stereolithic" could sell around 35,000, while the new Young Money crew album "Rise Of An Empire" might move 30,000.

On SoundScan's Building Chart (below), Bryan is No. 1, followed by "Frozen." The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.

'Frozen' Flirting With Return to No. 1 on Billboard 200

As for the rest of the top 10, Blacc is No. 3, while the current Billboard 200's No. 1 -- Rick Ross' "Mastermind" -- is No. 4. Pharrell Williams' "G I R L" is No. 5, followed by Young Money and 311 at Nos. 6 and 7, respectively.

Sara Evan's new "Slow Me Down" is No. 8 on the Building Chart (and could sell 30,000 this week. Rounding out the top 10 are Lorde's "Pure Heroine" at No. 9 and Eric Church's "The Outsiders" at No. 10.

 

Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart
RankLW
BB 200
ArtistTitle
1NEWLuke Bryan"Spring Break 6"
23Soundtrack"Frozen"
3NEWAloe Blacc"Lift Your Spirit"
41Rick Ross"Mastermind"
52Pharrell Williams"G I R L"
6NEWYoung Money"Rise Of An Empire"
7NEW311"Stereolithic"
8NEWSara Evans"Slow Me Down"
97Lorde"Pure Heroine"
109Eric Church"The Outsiders"
The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.

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