There won't be much of a surprise at the top of the Billboard 200 next week, as it is expected Lil Wayne's "Tha Carter IV" will hold at No. 1 for a second week after its blockbuster 964,000 debut.
While it's too early to tell how much "Tha Carter IV" may sell in its second week, Billboard projects that it will probably see a second-week decline of at least 65-80%, resulting in a second week unit total noof perhaps 190,000 to 340,000. That sort of drop wouldn't be unexpected, especially for an album with such a monster opening frame.
While Weezy likely has next week's No. 1 locked up, look for country icon George Strait to be the top debut. The singer's new release, "Here For a Good Time," could start with over 80,000 by week's end on Sept. 11, according to industry prognosticators. Strait seems easily on course for his 17th top 10 on the Billboard 200 and his 24th No. 1 on the Country Albums chart. He already owns the most No. 1s on the Country chart in history.
The title track from Strait's album jumps 11-9 on the Country Songs chart this week, marking his 84th top 10 hit. The achievement brings him closer to the all-time top 10 record holder, Eddy Arnold, who collected 92 top 10's between 1945 and 1980.
Strait's "Here For a Good Time" is the only album looking to debut in the top 10. In other news, expect a significant gain and re-entry for the Beatles' greatest hits package, and former chart-topper "1" (released physically in 2000). The set was issued digitally for the first time, exclusively through the iTunes Store, and it's being heavily promoted both in iTunes and on Twitter.