After a long five-year wait, Evanescence is back -- and perhaps headed for its second No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart. The rock band's new self-titled third studio release could sell between 110,000 and 125,000 copies by week's end on Oct. 16, industry prognosticators say.
While that is probably a big enough sales figure to secure a No. 1 arrival, don't count out the resilient Adele and her "21" album. It sold 112,000 this past week, according to Nielsen SoundScan, and has been moving between 110,000 and 154,000 on a weekly basis for the past month-and-a-half. "21" jumped a spot to No. 2 on the Billboard 200 this week and has never left the top four positions since it bowed at No. 1 on March 12.
If Evanescence's new album hits No. 1, it will mark the Amy Lee-fronted group's second chart-topper. It's first was "The Open Door" in 2006, which bounded in with 447,000 copies sold. "The Open Door" was the follow-up to the rock act's 2003 breakthrough debut, "Fallen," which spent 106 weeks on the Billboard 200 and has sold 7.6 million copies in the United States.
Meanwhile, rock band Five Finger Death Punch could be cruising to a top three debut on the Billboard 200. The group's third album, "American Capitalist," may sell around 80,000 to 100,000. Its 2009 release, "War Is the Answer," jumped in at No. 7 with a 44,000 launch. To date, Five Finger Death Punch's album sales stand at 569,000.
Ryan Adams' "Ashes & Fire" and "American Idol" 2011 runner-up Lauren Alaina could both start in the top 10 as well, shifting about 60,000 and 50,000 copies each, respectively. Country superstar Martina McBride's "Eleven" is flirting with a top 10 debut (perhaps 35,000), as is Joe Jonas' solo debut, "Fastlife" (maybe 25,000).