Green Day, No Doubt Headed for Big Album Debuts on Next Week's Billboard 200 Chart
Green Day, No Doubt Headed for Big Album Debuts on Next Week's Billboard 200 Chart

As Billboard.biz reported on Sept. 26, Mumford & Sons' "Babel" is on course for a record-setting week on the next Billboard 200 albums chart. The band's second release may sell around 600,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sept. 30, easily securing a No. 1 debut on the Billboard 200 chart next week.

Mumford & Sons' 'Babel' on Track to Sell a Whopping 600,000 Copies in First Week

The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Oct. 3.

Mumford & Sons isn't the only big-named act with a new release this week -- Green Day, No Doubt, Lupe Fiasco and Deadmau5 are all on course for top 10 arrivals next week.

Green Day's latest, "Uno!," may move around 150,000 -- good enough for a No. 2 entry, according to industry forecasters. That's off quite a bit from the start of its last studio release, 2009's "21st Century Breakdown," which debuted at No. 1 with 215,000 sold, according to Nielsen SoundScan. The band's promotional duties this week were thrown for a loop when frontman Billie Joe Armstrong announced on Sept. 23 that he was "seeking treatment for substance abuse."

No Doubt's long-awaited new studio album "Push & Shove" may bow in the No. 3 slot with 125,000. The quartet was last on the chart with a new studio set in 2001-2003 with "Rock Steady." The album release spent 76 weeks on the chart, peaking at No. 9 in its debut week.

Lupe Fiasco's "Food & Liquor II: the Great American Rap Album Pt. 1" seems like it will start with between 90,000 and 100,000, which should prompt a No. 4 debut. Fiasco's last release, 2011's "Lasers," debuted at No. 1, selling 204,000 in its premiere frame.

The fifth-largest entry next week looks to be Deadmau5's ">Album Title Goes Here<," which might sell 50,000. It would mark a career-high sales week (and new chart high) for the EDM act, whose best week thus far was the debut of 2010's "4X4=12." Its highest week came during its debut, when it entered the chart at No. 47 (its peak) with 27,000.

On Nielsen SoundScan's Building chart (below), Mumford & Sons is No. 1, followed by No Doubt, Green Day and Fiasco at Nos. 2-4, respectively. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.

As for the rest of the Building chart's top 10: P!nk's "The Truth About Love" is at No. 5; Deadmau5 is No. 6; the "Cruel Summer" compilation is No. 7; and Dave Matthews Band's "Away From the World" is No. 8. Rounding out the top 10 are the Killers' "Battle Born" (No. 9) and Little Big Town's "Tornado."

Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart
Rank LW
BB 200
Artist Title
1 NEW Mumford & Sons "Babel"
2 NEW No Doubt "Push & Shove"
3 NEW Green Day "Uno!"
4 NEW Lupe Fiasco "Food & Liquor II"
5 1 P!nk "The Truth About Love"
6 NEW deadmau5 "Album Title Goes Here"
7 2 Various "Cruel Summer"
8 4 Dave Matthews Band "Away From the World"
9 3 The Killers "Battle Born"
10 5 Little Big Town "Tornado"
The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.

Questions? Comments? Let us know: @billboardbiz

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