Van Halen, the Fray, Dierks Bentley & Paul McCartney: Heading for Top 10
Van Halen, the Fray, Dierks Bentley & Paul McCartney: Heading for Top 10

As Grammy Awards weekend descends upon us, we're looking towards next week's Billboard 200 albums chart, where a bevy of new releases are aiming for high debuts.

Van Halen could notch its first No. 1 album since 1996 with its new "A Different Kind of Truth," however, Adele's "21" may put up a fight and stick around for a 20th week atop the tally. Industry sources say that both albums could sell around 200,000 copies by week's end on Sunday, Feb. 12 -- the same night as the 54th Grammy Awards.

Van Halen Vs. Adele For No. 1 Next Week on Billboard 200

On Nielsen SoundScan's Building chart (below), Van Halen is sitting pretty in the No. 1 position while Adele is in the runner-up slot. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (ending Sunday, Feb. 5) as reported by six major merchants.

With the Grammy Awards on Sunday night -- and with Adele performing on the show -- she could rally with a late-in-the-game sales increase and block Van Halen from No. 1. The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Wednesday, Feb. 15.

Elsewhere on the Building chart, we have the Fray's new album, "Scars & Stories" at No. 3, the new "Now 41" compilation at No. 4 and Dierks Bentley's "Home" at No. 5. Just behind Bentley is the legendary Paul McCartney's new "Kisses on the Bottom."

The Fray may sell around 80,000, while the "Now 41" set could shift 120,000 to 140,000. Industry prognosticators suggest Bentley perhaps could sell 60,000 while McCartney is looking at 70,000.

The latter act is also performing on the Grammy Awards, which may boost him higher on the chart next week. McCartney is the 2012 MusiCares Person of the Year and will be celebrated at an all-star tribute concert on Friday, Feb. 10.

Rounding out the rest of the non-new titles in the Building Chart's top 10, we have the "2012 Grammy Nominees" compilation at No. 7, Drake's "Take Care" at No. 8, LMFAO's "Sorry for Party Rocking" at No. 9 and Lana Del Rey's "Born to Die" at No. 10.

Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart
Rank LW
BB 200
Artist Title
1 NEW Van Halen "A Different Kind of Truth"
2 1 Adele "21"
3 NEW The Fray "Scars & Stories"
4 NEW Various Artists "Now 41"
5 NEW Dierks Bentley "Home"
6 NEW Paul McCartney "Kisses on the Bottom"
7 4 Various Artists "2012 Grammy Nominees"
8 6 Drake "Take Care"
9 9 LMFAO "Sorry for Party Rocking"
10 2 Lana Del Rey "Born to Die"
The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.

Questions? Comments? Let us know: @billboard

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