Mraz and Richie are gunning for the top slot next week with their respective "Love is a Four Letter Word" and "Tuskegee" albums. Both sets are going to sell perhaps around 100,000 to 110,000 copies each -- so say industry prognosticators.
If Mraz tops the list, it will mark his first No. 1 album. He's gone as high as No. 3 with 2008's "We Sing. We Dance. We Steal Things." Richie's "Tuskegee" jumped to No. 1 last week on the chart for the first time, selling 129,000 according to Nielsen SoundScan.
The new Billboard 200 chart's top 10 will be revealed on the morning of Wednesday, April 25.
Train's "California 37" may debut around Nos. 4 or 5 with 70,000 sold. It could result in the band's highest-charting album yet. The act has reached No. 6 twice previously, with "Drops of Jupiter" in 2001 and "My Private Nation" in 2003. Train's last studio album, 2009's "Save Me, San Francisco," debuted and peaked at No. 17 with a 27,000 first week according to SoundScan.
A newcomer to the top 10 next week might be rapper Future, whose debut studio album "Pluto" may sell somewhere in the range of 30,000 to 40,000. He's released numerous mixtapes since 2010 and has notched eight hit singles on the Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs chart. Two of those climbed all the way into the top 10: "Racks" (YC featuring Future, No. 6) and "Magic" (No. 10). His most recent entry as a lead artist was "Same Damn Time," which rises 31-22 this week.
On Nielsen SoundScan's Building chart (below), Mraz and Train are at Nos. 1 and 2, respectively, while Adele's "21" is in third place. Richie's "Tuskegee" is No. 4 while Future is No. 5. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.
Don't be misled by the order of the titles in the top five of the Building Chart. Due to how its compiled the ranking can sometimes be deceiving. For example, Mraz may have an early lead thanks to banked pre-orders via iTunes, while Richie will certainly have a boost in sales over the weekend from big box retailers. Once next week's official Billboard 200 chart rolls in, Mraz and Richie should be dueling for Nos. 1 or 2.
As for the rest of the Building Chart: One Direction's "Up All Night" follows at No. 6, Nicki Minaj's "Pink Friday: Roman Reloaded" is No. 7 and Thousand Foot Krutch's "End Is Where We Begin" is No. 8. Rounding out the top 10 on the Building Chart is Bonnie Raitt's "Slipstream" and Monica's "New Life" at Nos. 9 and 10.
|Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart|
|1||NEW||Jason Mraz||"Love Is a Four Letter Word"|
|6||5||One Direction||"Up All Night"|
|7||3||Nicki Minaj||"Pink Friday: Roman Reloaded"|
|8||NEW||Thousand Foot Krutch||"End Is Where We Begin"|
|The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.|