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Jack Johnson Set for No. 1 on Billboard 200, Avicii and Chris Young for Top 10

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Jack Johnson performs as a special guest of ALO at Day 1 of the Bonnaroo Music And Arts Festival 

EDM star Avicii could notch the genre's highest debut for a first solo album with "True."

Singer/songwriter Jack Johnson is on course for his fourth No. 1 album on the Billboard 200, while EDM superstar Avicii is aiming for a top 10 debut with his first album, "True."

Industry sources suggest the former's "From Here to Now to You" may sell around 110,000 to 115,000 copies by the end of the tracking week on Sunday, Sept. 22. DJ/producer Avicii's debut studio album, "True," may shift around 45,000 to 50,000 and bow at No. 5.

If Avicii's album performs as expected, he will earn the highest debut for a solo EDM act's first studio album in the SoundScan era (1991-present).

Next week's top 10 -- which will be revealed on Wednesday, Sept. 25 -- should also include three debuting sets from male country singers.

Justin Moore's third full-length album, "Off the Beaten Path," seems destined for a No. 2 arrival behind Johnson. Moore may sell around 105,000 -- notching the singer's best week ever and highest-charting album. His previous chart and sales high was logged with 2011's "Outlaws Like Me," which debuted and peaked at No. 5 with a start of 65,000 (according to Nielsen SoundScan).

On Wednesday (Sept. 18), it seemed as if Moore was going to challenge Johnson for the No. 1 position next week. But that was only after one day on sale -- as both albums were released on Tuesday. By Friday, Johnson's lead over Moore had stabilized, and we should see Johnson lead the tally next week.

In addition to Moore, country music will possibly be represented by two more debuting albums in the top 10 next week: Chris Young's "A.M." and Billy Currington's "We Are Tonight." Young might sell around 55,000, while Currington is heading for a start of 25,000 to 30,000.

Aside from the five previously mentioned new arrivals, there will be one more new set starting in the top 10: the "Maybach Music Group Presents: Self Made, Vol. 3" compilation. The various-artists effort -- which features contributions from Meek Mill, Wale, Rick Ross and others -- might sell around 45,000 to 50,000.

On SoundScan's Building chart (below), Johnson and Moore are No. 1 and No. 2, respectively. The Building tally is a precursor to the final Billboard 200 ranking -- reflecting the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week as reported by six major merchants.

As for the rest of the top 10: the "Self Made, Vol. 3" album is No. 3, while Avicii sits at No. 4. Young's "A.M." is No. 5, while Luke Bryan's "Crash My Party" and Keith Urban's "Fuse" are Nos. 6 and 7. Currington is No. 8, while the Weeknd's "Kiss Land" sits at No. 9. Closing out the top 10 is 2 Chainz's "B.O.A.T.S. II #METIME."


Nielsen SoundScan Building Chart
BB 200
1NEWJack Johnson"From Here to Now to You"
2NEWJustin Moore"Off the Beaten Path"
3NEWVarious Artists"Maybach Music Group Presents: Self Made, Vol. 3"
5NEWChris Young"A.M."
64Luke Bryan"Crash My Party"
71Keith Urban"Fuse"
8NEWBilly Currington"We Are Tonight"
92The Weeknd"Kiss Land"
1032 Chainz"B.O.A.T.S. II #METIME"
The Building Chart reflects the first four days (Monday through Thursday) of SoundScan's tracking week (which ends Sunday) as reported by six major merchants: iTunes, Trans World Entertainment, Best Buy, Starbucks, Target and Anderson Merchandisers. Billboard estimates that they make up about 85% of all U.S. album sales.